The full board stays fully visible on Matches— you decide for yourself. Here we surface only the top-tier value: the biggest gap between our model's probability and the live run-up price.
World Cup knockouts · Live run-up prices · Captured 2026-07-02 08:00 UTC · 19 upcoming fixtures · 5 with Best/Value picks
Best · edge ≥ 25% · 1Value · edge ≥ 13% · 5
Odds
Best — edge ≥ 25%
1 selection| Player | Fixture | Market | Best price | Model | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahmoud Trezeguet | Australia v Egypt | SOT o0.5 | 2.05 Oddschecker | 86% | +37.5% | club-history |
Value — edge ≥ 13%
5 selections| Player | Fixture | Market | Best price | Model | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lionel Messi | Argentina v Cape Verde Islands | SOT o1.5 | 1.53 Oddschecker | 90% | +24.5% | club-history |
| Enner Valencia | Mexico v Ecuador | SOT o0.5 | 1.80 Oddschecker | 77% | +21.7% | club-history |
| Ayoub El Kaabi | Netherlands v Morocco | SOT o0.5 | 1.83 Oddschecker | 76% | +21.5% | club-history |
| Nicolas Jackson | Belgium v Senegal | SOT o0.5 | 1.77 Oddschecker | 75% | +18.6% | club-history |
| Donyell Malen | Netherlands v Morocco | SOT o0.5 | 1.70 Oddschecker | 73% | +14.2% | club-history |
Selections marked club-history include club-history data. Top-tier value we surface from the data, not tips — how the tiers have performed is on Track Record.